Molybdenum, which is used to strengthen steel, sold on the spot market at a monthly average of almost $33/lb during the first half of last year, and actually was as high as $33.50/lb in daily trading. But, the spot price slipped to $25 in the second half and continued falling earlier this year - bottoming around $8/lb in April. Analysts predict the price at $12/lb in a couple of months.
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When economic growth resumes, there will be a critical shortage of strategic metals. The rapid collapse in metal’s prices has forced many miners to mothball operations; when demand for these metals resumes, there will be a lag time for production online. This means that as quickly as prices collapsed, we can expect an upswing with more impetus.
The steel sector has been deeply impacted by the global economic climate; with an approximate 50% decline in production. Moly, as an important alloy, is following suit.
In 2008, molybdenum cost an average of $29/lb after peaking at $30 in 2007. On a monthly basis, however, molybdenum has sold for less than $10/lb for two months now. Investment bank Dahlman Rose & Co. in New York expects molybdenum to average $12/lb this year.
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