Molybdenum price fluctuations have been common place for a while now. Since the collapse in 2008 that saw prices fall from $36 per pound down to $8 per pound, many analysts and investors have been looking for stability.
Many molybdenum mining companies have released Second Quarter results, as well as updates for ongoing projects. Results for the companies are mixed as some have benefited from rising moly prices, while others have struggled to get new projects online.
As the use of molybdenum becomes diversified because of its use in solar panels, the price correlation between Silver and Moly is closing. The diversification of the uses for moly is beneficial as the price is not dependent solely on steel consumption.
“Sell in May, and Go Away,” may hold true for minor metals such as molybdenum this year. However, recent moves by the Chinese and speculation on China’s growth numbers may be the true factors driving the molybdenum market.
Molybdenum is obtained from two different types of mines: primary mines and by-product mines. By-product mines are most commonly referred to as Copper-Molybdenum ore bodies, while ‘primary’ mines focus solely on molybdenum production.
The search for new mineral wealth is pushing to the far reaches of the globe. Mongolia, the neighbor to two of the world’s largest economies, Russia and China, is on track to have the largest copper mine outside of Chile. International mining companies are taking up increased interest in Mongolia, which suffers from poverty and a lack of modern infrastructure.
Reports of mineral wealth in Afghanistan exceeding $1 trillion may seem like terrific news for the war torn nation; however, when faced with the political realities, seem less attractive to international mining companies. Is the release of internal Pentagon memo’s just days before a Senate hearing a political ploy or a mining reality?
China’s voracious appetite for molybdenum since the beginning of 2009 has inflated the price of molybdenum. Current price levels do not reflect the actual consumption of the metal, as the Chinese firms are creating vast surpluses to support and lower the cost of steel production.
Recently molybdenum mining companies stock prices have fallen on fears that Chinese steel demand may be waning, a sign of a slowing recovery.However, most analysis of world markets has steel demand rising through 2012. How will this speculation effect the stock price of profitable molybdenum companies?
Australia’s new “Super Profit” tax on mining companies may scare off investment and hurt the profitability of mining operations, say analysts. However, economists and government officials disagree. After billions of dollars worth of investments into molybdenum operations in Australia, how will this proposed tax affect the mining industry?
Wednesday, August 18, 2010